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Clouds over Kyoto

Even if levels had increased over the previous two years, it was surely not beyond the wit of the world’s most technologically advanced countries to reduce them by the end of the decade. The difficult part was going to be cutting emissions below existing levels.

Five years later even that soft target has proved too difficult for most – Germany, Russia and the UK being the (accidental) exceptions. And as delegates from over 150 nations gather in Kyoto this month, the US in particular is involved in a back-pedalling exercise of Tour de France proportions. American emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases have risen by more than 10% since Rio, and the US arrives in Kyoto determined to commit itself to nothing more than a return to 1990 levels sometime between 2008 and 2012. Given that the US currently emits twice as such carbon dioxide per head as the rest of developed world, its inability to make any improvements in energy efficiency is truly staggering.

The hosts, Japan, are slightly more ambitious and hope to cut emissions by 5% by 2010, while Europe is setting the pace with plans for a 15% cut. With other nations and groups of nations – such as the Group of 77 developing countries, which includes India and most of the Middle East, South East Asia, Africa and Latin America, and the 42-strong Alliance of Small Island States – taking equally strong positions, the hopes of a solution do not seem good. An agreement reached in Berlin in 1995 means that the developed world has to set a binding target before the developing nations do so, although the US is now opposed to this as well.

Aiming for a simple percentage cut in emissions for the developed world is, however, too simple a solution for what is a truly complex problem – and one that involves not only science and technology but also social and economic policies. Therefore it is not surprising that the inclusion of various ideas put forward by the business community in a wider solution seems to offer the best chance of progress.

“Emissions trading” is one of these ideas: a country that is finding it difficult to meet whatever target is agreed in Kyoto would be able to “buy” a reduction from a country that has beaten the Kyoto target. A form of emissions trading already works on a limited basis in the US – companies trade sulphur-dioxide emissions under the watchful eye of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Members of the European Union cannot complain about this system as the 15% reduction proposal from Brussels assumes that some EU members will beat this target while others will not. And if Kyoto agrees a compromise target around 5%, the EU could be an active and profitable partner in such trades.

“Joint implementation” is another possibility. The World Bank, for example, has proposed a Global Carbon Initiative where developed nations give energy-saving technology to developing nations. In return, any reduction in emissions would be credited to the developed country. The developing countries would benefit from the creation of jobs and the spread of energy-efficient technology, although they might be suspicious of a scheme administered by the World Bank. Some argue that emissions trading and joint implementation are yet further examples of the rich exploiting the poor, but if the schemes are constructed carefully and priced properly – and there is no double-counting of emissions – they could offer a “win-win” situation.

Whatever happens in Kyoto, however, Europe should stick to its promise to reduce emissions by 15%. Global emissions of carbon have already risen by 6% since 1990 and climate scientists agree that further reductions will be needed after 2010. The optimism of Rio has evaporated, and unless a significant part of the developed world has the courage to tackle the problem, the climate scientists will be proved right and we will all have to live with the consequences.

Science studies – what’s wrong?

Physicists form a rather closed group of people. You may occasionally talk to a chemist or a mathematician, but how often do you cross the campus to speak to people working in the relatively new academic disciplines of “science studies”, “sociology of scientific knowledge” (SSK) or “science, technology and society” (STS). Do you even talk to people in more traditional fields such as the history and philosophy of science?

Depending on where you are and who works in your institution, you may be surprised by some of the statements that are fairly widely (but by no means universally) accepted in these “science studies” circles. For example, two leading sociologists of science – Harry Collins and Trevor Pinch – have said in their collection of essays The Golem (1993 Cambridge University Press pp144-145) that “scientists at the research front cannot settle their disagreements through better experimentation, more knowledge, more advanced theories, or clearer thinking”.

You might well think that this description of science could not be further from reality, and well known physicists, such as Steven Weinberg, David Mermin, Kurt Gottfried and Kenneth Wilson, have offered detailed criticism of these sociological views. Another type of response came from Alan Sokal, a physicist from New York University, who published a now famous hoax article in the journal Social Text in which he parodied the sloppy thinking of some sociologists and philosophers. At the beginning of his article, Sokal mockingly declares “that scientific ‘knowledge’, far from being objective, reflects and encodes the dominant ideologies and power relations of the culture that produced it”. The worrying thing is that this statement is not so different from what you may hear some sociologists actually saying!

Roughly speaking, Sokal was parodying two kinds of discourses: silly pronouncements about science made by famous (mostly French) intellectuals, and extreme “philosophical relativism” – themes that Sokal and I have developed in our recent book Impostures Intellectuelles (1997 Editions Odile Jacob). Some people working in SSK, STS and related areas feel that they have been unfairly attacked by the parody and by our book. I shall therefore try to summarize exactly our criticism of certain widespread (but not universal) tendencies in science studies.

To begin, let me distinguish between the part of science studies that belongs to “cultural studies” and SSK itself. Most of Sokal’s hoax was a parody of people working in cultural studies and not in SSK. Recent years have seen the growth of a variety of anti-scientific attitudes, even in academic circles (often under the label of Post-modernism). These attitudes should not be confused with science studies, which is, in principle, a rational enterprise.

Strong views

The 1970s saw the development of a new trend in the sociology of science, spearheaded by Barry Barnes, David Bloor and collaborators at Edinburgh University, who put forward what they called the “strong programme”. This programme, which was related to Thomas Kuhn’s earlier work on the history of science, differed from its predecessors by being sociologically more ambitious and by adopting a new conceptual attitude. While previous sociologists of science might have been satisfied just to describe scientific activity or scientific institutions, the goal of this new “Edinburgh school” was to give a causal account of the content of scientific theories.

The new conceptual attitude was a form of “methodological relativism”. In other words, as Bloor wrote in Knowledge and Social Imagery (1991 University of Chicago Press p7), sociological accounts in the strong programme had to be impartial “with respect to the truth or falsity, rationality or irrationality, success or failure” of the theories whose content was to be explained. This impartiality is referred to as the “symmetry principle”.

This combination of sociological ambition and methodological relativism is, I believe, the source of the trouble with science studies. It is perfectly acceptable to analyse, say, what social factors lead to the casual-dressing habits among (contemporary) physicists without worrying about the truth value of physicists’ theories. But here we are talking about sociologists who are actually trying to explain how scientific theories develop.

To see what the problem is, let us first distinguish between philosophical and methodological relativism. Broadly speaking, “philosophical relativism” argues that the truth of a proposition depends on who states it or on the social group(s) to which that person belongs. So, statements are true “for us” or “in our culture” or – to sound more sophisticated, as some sociologists try to – “in our language game”. But statements in philosophical relitavism are not true in any broader sense.

Of course, this attitude might be valid with respect to some kinds of assertions, such as aesthetic judgements or maybe even ethical ones. But in the view of most scientists, scientific statements are – while rarely absolutely true – supposed to be (partially) true or false in an unconditioned way. For example, if the fine-structure constant of particle physics means anything, it is a number that was the same at the time of the Roman Empire as it was in 12th-century China.

Of course, there are various sceptical arguments that are sometimes brought up in discussions on sociology of science in order to support philosophical relativism. For example, sociologists might argue how we can know that there really exists something outside of our minds? And even if something did exist outside our minds, how could we ever be certain about our knowledge of this external world?

Discussing these arguments would be long and complicated, but also irrelevant. After all, sociologists of science explicitly say that their goal is to produce a scientific understanding of scientific activities. Whenever one tries to produce a scientific theory of anything – be it atoms, genes or societies – one must put aside these sceptical doubts, and act on the belief that one can indeed learn about the external world through reasoning and experience.

Strong criticism

But sociologists who espouse the “strong programme” rely on a form of methodological rather than philosophical relativism, namely the symmetry principle. In other words, they try to be impartial when assessing how scientific theories develop, and not take a stance on whether the science itself is correct. But can that principle really be defended? Several philosophers of science have also criticized methodological relativism, and here is a short summary of some of their arguments.

Suppose that you want to give a causal account of why some people became convinced of the theories of Newton or of Darwin. Many historical, political, socio-economic and even theological factors will enter into such an explanation. But also – and it is this also that matters – one part of the explanation must include the fact that these theories are supported by good evidence. Of course, this last factor is not on its own enough – in the case of Darwin’s theories, for example, you also have to explain why so many people reject the fact of evolution – and one should credit the new trends in the sociology of science for emphasizing this point. (In contrast, “hagiographic” views of the history of science argue that science is purely the progress of reason, unaffected by social factors.)

Now, suppose that you want to give a causal account of a superstitious belief, say of astrology. It is conceivable that one can obtain a purely sociological account of the existence of such beliefs, without ever invoking the evidence supporting them – simply because there is no such evidence. Of course, one may have a separate worry: at present does anybody have a well tested sociological theory that yields a causal and explanatory account of any system of beliefs, even superstitious ones? But leaving that aside, the comparison between Newton’s theories and astrology clearly shows a necessary and crucial asymmetry in such an explanatory scheme: in one case, evidence must enter into the explanation, in the other case not. Note, of course, that if you happen to believe (wrongly) that astrology is well supported by evidence, then this factor should, presumably, enter into what you regard as a causal account of belief in astrology.

This leads to a further problem: when sociologists study “science in action” – i.e. science at the research front – how do they distinguish between beliefs that are held for purely sociological reasons (after all, scientists are not immune to fads) and those that are held for valid empirical reasons? Well, it seems obvious that you have to know the physics in detail, and not just the sociology. But it is by no means impossible for sociologists to acquire such knowledge. They could collaborate with physicists or other scientists, and indeed some sociologists have a background in physics. But it would require some work, and at least some sociologists of science want to avoid doing this kind of work. As sociologist Steve Fuller says, the aim of SSK is to “employ methods that enable them to fathom both the ‘inner workings’ and the ‘outer character’ of science without having to be expert in the fields they study” (see Philosophy, Rhetoric, and the End of Knowledge: The Coming of Science and Technology Studies 1993 University of Wisconsin Press p xii).

Even sociologists who would not go that far will tend to say that, not being physicists, they do not have to take sides in the scientific controversies. But in my opinion, one cannot interpret adequately the sociology of the content of scientific theories – such as the relative role played by rational, cognitive factors versus fashion, prestige, economic self-interest and so on – without making at least some judgement of the underlying scientific issues.

To be fair to sociologists of science, the most controversial claims of the strong programme have recently been toned down. For example, the symmetry principle is not even mentioned in the index of a recent textbook on SSK by Barnes, Bloor and John Henry (Scientific Knowledge: Sociological Analysis 1996 University of Chicago Press). And one can redefine the neutrality involved in the “symmetry principle” to make it harmless, but then also rather meaningless. So some sociologists may claim that I have misrepresented their (previous) views. However, since, nowadays at least, sociologists often accuse each other of exaggerated “sociologism”, I am not alone in such apparent misreading.

Action plan

So what is to be done? Well, many things. First of all, we should worry about the image of science that we show to the public. A lot of popularization of science seems to me pretty bad. It is either written by scientists who hold marginal or “dissident” views, or it puts the most speculative aspects of science on a par with the most well established ones. (This problem is also well parodied in Sokal’s hoax.) On the other hand, we should keep an open eye on the courses of philosophy, history or pedagogy that are offered to our students and, while remaining open-minded and tolerant, talk to the people teaching these courses to avoid anti-scientific nonsense being poured onto students through such channels. (One high-school physics teacher recently told me that the main purpose of the “philosophy of science” course offered in his school was to destroy what he, as a physics teacher, was doing.)

I would like to end with some words of caution. Physicists can easily overreact to the science studies crowd. On the one hand, the negative reaction is understandable: there is a fair amount of sloppy work in so-called cultural studies – take a look at the references in Sokal’s article in Social Text if you are not convinced – that is often justified by philosophically confused arguments. But a sociologist could say: so what? After all, there is also a lot of sloppy work in physics, and it is only the technicality of our jargon that protects us from the kind of public exposure achieved by Sokal.

Scientists themselves sometimes get philosophically confused (although sociologists will not say it, I believe that a lot of confusion can be found in the Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics) and they can grossly exaggerate the relevance, scope or level of confirmation of their theories. Scientists can also be selfish, arrogant and prejudiced. In case these descriptions do not apply to you, just think about your colleagues! Scientific research is a human activity, too human maybe. All this justifies subjecting it to careful and reasoned analysis from a historical, sociological and philosophical viewpoint. But it does not warrant sloppy thinking or radical relativism.

By no means do Sokal and I wish to fight what some commentators have called a “science war”, which pits scientists against anti-scientific humanists of all sorts. But we wish to defend canons of rationality that are – or should be – common to all. And we do not want to let it be forgotten that the discovery of objective, culture-independent truths about the world has had powerful consequences as one of the sources of the enlightenment, and is one of the best remedies against the permanent short-sightedness of our cultural prejudices.

Replicating objects by laser light

One of the biggest changes in CAD design in the past five years is the creation of models direct from the CAD package using machine controlled tools.

Recently, this design process took another leap forward with the creation of three-dimensional objects or models by irradiation of compositions which crosslink and solidify upon irradiation (photohardenable). This is done by one of two methods, either by solidifying each point individually (by scanning a volume point by point with intersecting beams of radiation), or by building up successive thin layers of a solidified photopolymerizable composition.

Models prepared by this process have been essentially homogeneous in colour and texture. Patent 5677107 describes a new adaption on these methods which produces selected elements which are coloured differently than other elements of the object.

Photosensitive agents that respond at different wavelengths to the photohardenable compound are incorporated into a new mixture. As each section of the object is formed by the solidifying radiation wavelength, the section is scanned with radiation of a different wavelength which selectively addresses the photosensitive agent. This causes the agent to bleach, colorize, or alter the tactile characteristic of a portion of the model.

Testing the water

The detection and monitoring of metals and organic compounds in water, is normally done by having an technician collect on-site field samples. These samples are then take back to a laboratory. Though there have been many attempts to provide on-site analysis and remote sampling, all previous solutions still required a technician to collect the sample, and the sensors do not communicate directly with the laboratory. Patent 5676820 describes a new sensor which seems to have solved these problems.

Using an electrochemical sensor, a communications cable to an analysis device, and a link to the main data center, you can make regular timed readings of the amount of metal contaminants and organic compounds in water supplies. The sensor is useful for both downhole groundwater monitoring and in-situ water (e.g., shipboard seawater) analysis and provides accurate monitoring without the continuous on-site field personnel. Over 15 analyses per minute can be made.

Collision course for fusion

They claim that the “colliding beam fusion reactor” is superior to the tokamak approach favoured by the international fusion community.

The University of Florida/University of California-Irvine team reveal the new approach in the November 21 issue of Science. The team has designed a 100 megawatt reactor in which the beams are confined in a so-called reversed-field configuration of magnetic fields. The fusion of a proton with a boron-11 nucleus creates three alpha particles which, the team predict, could be converted into electrical power with an efficiency approaching 90%. Tokamaks have a conversion efficiency of about 40%.

The colliding beam reactor will, say the designers, also be smaller and cheaper to build and maintain than a tokamak device. And since the proton-boron reaction does not produce neutrons, the structure of the reactor should not become radioactive.

Nuclear fusion meets resistance in France

The French government is considering plans to transfer the national Institute for Nuclear and Particle Physics (IN2P3), currently part of the CNRS, France’s national research council, to the French atomic energy commission (CEA). The proposal has been drawn up by the government’s chief scientific advisor, Vincent Courtillot, who is conducting a thorough review of the French research system.

The move would affect more than 3000 physicists. IN2P3 currently has an annual budget of FFr 1.2 billion and runs 18 laboratories. The CEA’s Directorate of the Sciences of Matter (DSM), which conducts research on nuclear and particle physics, astrophysics, and atomic and molecular physics, has about 100 laboratories and a budget of FFr 2 bn.

French physicists are worried that the move will weaken links with the universities but Catherine Césarsky, head of the DSM, claims that the agency is working to improve its relations with academic researchers.

Radioactive waste reaches water

The studies were carried out by the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory on the behalf of the Department of Energy. According to the reports, waste from at least five of the tanks has seeped 70m below into local groundwater. Each tank contains approximately 204 million litres of radioactive material produced from plutonuim production in Richland, Washington.

Officials who spoke to ‘The Oregonian’ newspaper, which broke the story, believed Hanford’s dry soil would soak up the pollution before it reached the aquifer. Handford contains 177 underground tanks, of which 67 are suspected of leaking.

There is a ongoing 29.5 billion dollar program to clean up the tanks to remove the radioactive solids. The report is unconclusive on whether the contamination in the groundwater would eventually seep into the Columbia River.

Hanford has pumped over 11 billion hectolitres of waste water into the ground since 1945, significantly contaminating the aquifer.

Shady solar outhouses

Each outhouse costs $10, 000 and designed to use solar panels to power fans which pipe out smelly air. Unfortunately, some were built in areas that are frequently in the shade. The outhouses can be found in the Cleveland and San Bernardino National Forest.

Foresty officials are not amused at their mistake. They are now planning to fit outhouses not working properly with low-tech exhaust fans. But when the high-tech privies do work, they’ve been described as sweet smelling.

“You can’t smell anything — and that’s sweet enough, ” said resource officer Ernie Martinsen.

Fifth Framework refuses to take shape

The council of research ministers was unable to agree the broad outline of the programme at its last meeting in November. The Framework is expected to run from 1999 to 2003 with a budget in the region of ECU13–16bn.

Earlier this year the European Commission proposed that the Framework should contain three “thematic programmes”, but the majority of research ministers favour five — and some have asked for as many as seven. The European Parliament, which must also approve the plans, prefers four programmes. The Parliament is currently debating some 700 amendments to the original proposal.

The three programmes proposed by the commission are: promoting competitive and sustainable growth; unlocking the resources of the living world and the ecosystem; and creating a user-friendly information society. The commission has also proposed three horizontal programmes: international collaboration; innovation and participation of small and medium-sized enterprises; and improving human potential.

According to officials, the range of research in the 5th Framework will be just as great as in its predecessor. Within physics, there will be support for quantum computing, nanostructured materials, semiconductors, optoelectronics and superconductivity.

Budget falls in Denmark

Although the 1998 Danish research budget is the largest ever, research grants and funds for postdoc training in the natural sciences will be halved next year. The lion’s share of the money will be spent on politically selected themes rather than basic research.

The Natural Sciences Research Council’s funds will be cut by a third and its “free” money – which must cover new initiatives, postdoc training and ongoing research projects – will amount to DKr 88 m (about £8 m), compared to DKr 184 m this year. After deducting the money tied up in long-term projects, there is just DKr 10 m left for next year. The council will be unable to fund any postdocs and researchers will have to manage with 20% less money than they had been promised for ongoing projects.

“This is a bomb under Danish basic research, ” says Ole Mouritsen of the Technical University of Denmark. “Most basic researchers do not have the finances for research or training – the basic grants to the universities cover only salaries, buildings, electricity and water. The research councils are the only source for keeping basic research alive, ” he says.

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